2024 Fantasy Football Thread

If only "Dataroma" was able to tell you the complete story. This is why so many people whiffed on Puka coming out of college...Except for me of course. It's why so many people will make the same mistake with Pat Bryant.

In an "every player counts" league. Full PPR 2 QB (6 pt passing TD) 3 WR 2 RB 1 TE 2 FLEX 1 K and 1 DST. Only 5 bench spots. Meaning every player counts. WR and QB are especilly valuable.

I have first pick. I am leaning 99.9% Chase. He was my first pick last year as well and I luckily got Lamar Jackson as my second pick. Top WR and top QB is a strong combo. I ran the table in the reg season going 14-0 and losing first playoff game despite a very strong score. Just ran into a buzzsaw :( I typically wait for QB but last year Lamar was just sitting there in round 2 and I pounced. I can't see wasting the first pick on a QB. Only ones I would consider are Allen, Jackson, Hurts or Daniels. I jut think the toppest of top tier WR is better. My other QBs last year were Mayfield and Darnold giving me 3 top 10 QBs because QB is more of a crapshoot than WR and I took those guys late.. Barring injury Chase is a can't miss right?

Anyway in this format I have to take Chase first right?

The Niners were so confident in Guerendo that they traded away a better back than BRob for a 5th round pick. BRob is nothing more than a plodder who is insurance. He sucks.

Whenever I do simulated drafts on Fantasy pros they take QBs the first 5 picks. But I know from experience waiting on QB is a better strategy. Most of my league knows this too! That said it is unlikey i get a top 5 QB at the 2-3 turn. Hopefully I get another tier 1 wr and rb.

My bad, I deleted my first post, because I misread the format and missed that it was 2 QB. I was hoping you wouldn’t have seen it yet haha.

I think you have to go your preferred QB, especially with it being 2 QB and not SF. The fact you landed Chase/Lamar last year is insane and will be tough to replicate, along with those Baker/Darnold seasons. But it sounds like your league might not value QBs as they should, so that could make pushing QB easier if everyone is doing it.

But you’re right, Chase is a clear top fantasy player and only fails if either he or Burrow get injured.

How many teams are in the league?

Hayden posted this screenshot from a draft with a bunch of experienced players, and outside of the top 5, everyone was pushing QB. No idea how the draft ended, but I thought it was interesting.

The flip side is that when you have the opportunity to get a top 4 QB, you probably have to do it. As you saw with having Lamar last year. But if you think you might be able to get one of the top 4 or Burrow in round 2, then I’d definitely take Chase.

10 teams devalue QB a little more compared to 12.

Final SF - I really thought Tre would've made it back to me, but he went one before. Maybe I should've gone with Tre/Strange over Pitts/Najee and then get RayRay instead of Ayo or Coker.

Herbert, Penix, Milroe, Trask

Bijan, Jeanty, Breece, Charb, Najee, CRod

JSN, DeVonta, Flowers, Egbuka, Keon, QJ, Ayo, Coker

Andrews, Pitts

Last year 7 QB's were gone by the 2/3 turn. Burrows was still there but I doubt that will be the case this year. First round went Hurts 5, Allen 6 and Mahomes 9 and Richardson 10. Second round Stroud 11, Jackson 13 (ME!) and Murray 15. I am not expecting to see Burrow at the turn but if I do i will pounce othrwise I try to stack WRs and a RB. Guy that took (tenth pick) Richardson/Stroud 1/2 finished dead last 😀

There are definitely a lot of midrange QBs that have top 5-10 upside. Nix, Fields, Caleb, Maye, etc.

QB upside is pretty deep. Even someone cheap like Tua can put up top 5 weeks.

All my FP simulated drafts grade out better when i take a QB at 1 vs Chase. Taking Allen or Jackson I still always end up with a tier 1 RB and WR at the turn. The nice thing about taking QB first is less stress waiting on QB2. On the other hand taking 3 WR and 2 RB while everyone else is taking QBs and settling for mid range QBs is very appealing to me.

Both strategies are valid, but I tend to lean the top 4 separate enough in their peak seasons, it’s better to take them when you have the draft spot. Burrow can hang with the top 4 if his defense remains as bad as we think.

Then after that, you can start debating opportunity cost.

I just did a draft. Robinson went in the 13th and Guerendo went in the 17th.

Rare DK draft for me, TE did not go well haha

Dak, Caleb, JJM

Hampton, Breece, Skattebo, Tuten, Sampson, Marks

CD, AJB, Adams, Rome, Addison, Shaheed, Horton, Felton

Likely, Sanders, Higbee

DK

Purdy, Maye, Rodgers

Brown, Henderson, Warren, Spears, Roschon, Giddens

JJ, Adams, Mclaurin, Pearsall, Jennings, Burden, Slayton, R Wilson

J Ferguson, Henry, Jonnu

JCM and Jaylin Lane sitting out today. Rodriguez and McNichols playing.

Yeah I don't know what to make of stuff like that as I could see it being bullish for JCM or Rodriguez.

Kyren didn't play any preseason games when he broke out in 23, and Puka only played in 1 game that year.

I think it’s better for jcm that he’s sitting

This instance would be bullish for JCM and bearish for Rodriguez, since it seems most, if not all, starters are sitting. Ekeler is sitting too.

With that said, I know JCM also had a shoulder thing, so it could also be small injury related.

With Kyren/Puka, that’s when people started getting on them more heavily, based on the preseason usage. Some teams also signal harder than others.

Jalen Coker player special teams the other night, even with all of the other starters sitting. But he missed the second preseason game with an illness and Canales said it was for conditioning. So it’s tough to read into something like that.

But generally, especially for rookies or uncertain role guys, you want them to be doing what the other starters are doing.

Aaron Rodgers, DK Metcalf and Jonnu smith are all massively undervalued.

Metcalf should be going in the late 3rd. Rodgers should be going in the 12th. Jonnu should be going in the 13th.

Why is Chase Brown going in the middle of the 2nd now? I'd take Irving, Taylor, Jacobs, Hampton and Kyren over him. This is a really bad pick.

The high dollar rooms are really into the Commanders backfield.

2 words...Arthur Smith

I like DK more than most, but I wouldn't touch him at the 3/4 turn.

I've only taken Rodgers when desperate.

That offense will be lucky to run 60 plays per game. Jonnu is my favorite click of them all. Rodgers is a fine price. DK is tough, because there are so many good players in his range. And honestly, he’s just not that good and doesn’t fit great with Rodgers. But I still mix him in because he could run hot on TDs and big plays. Warren is my biggest fade of that offense. I might have 2%, that I wish I didn’t have.

Week 17 against Cleveland also isn't great. Both teams could be out of it and playing for nothing by then.