Super Bowl 58: #3 Kansas City Chiefs vs #1 San Francisco 49ers (-1)

Super Bowl 58: #3 Kansas City Chiefs vs #1 San Francisco 49ers (-1)

29 January 2024 at 05:08 AM
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1660 Replies


Earlier posts are available on our legacy forum HERE

by StoppedRainingMen

Genuinely had no idea Ed was on the 94 team til this post

Wild

I didn't even know he was on the Giants for the first 3 years of his career before one season in SF until I saw "3x Super Bowl champion" under his name and went to Wikipedia to find out where the non-Denver title came from.

But it looks like they wouldn't be the first one. According to Google, Steve and Zak DeOssie both won a title with the Giants.


I haven't seen anyone else running them in SE so I wanted to post this again. I'll be wrapping this up soon so if you haven't already gotten your squares but you're interested in some, stop being a nit and hop on over to OOT or just PM me. Here's what's left:

by ec_outlaw

$10 #1 - SOLD OUT$25 #1 - SOLD OUT$50 - SOLD OUT$10 #2 - 24 left$25 #2 - 65 $250 - 50 / SOLD OUT?We've reached the halfway point on the $250s. I'm a bit stubborn and not ready to give up quite yet. I'm going to start a wait list for anyone who still wants to get in on the $250s. If I can get it up to at least 85-90 sold, I'll run it with the blank squares mentioned before.

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/34/ot...

Sorry for the spam


by bazooka87

Maybe 2026??? If he wasn't Mr Irrelevant the discourse wouldn't exist.

But he was, and this is a goat offensive system and supporting skill position group that produced very similar Jimmy G discourse exactly four years ago (and we got our answer on that 3.75 years later!!).


6-point laser!


by LuckyLloyd

But he was, and this is a goat offensive system and supporting skill position group that produced very similar Jimmy G discourse exactly four years ago (and we got our answer on that 3.75 years later!!).

I was looking for the first time I ever used Wompwompalo (which I just changed to Womp cuz I can’t be typing that all out every time and don’t know how to use scripts) cuz I know it was years ago and came across this from 2022

by StoppedRainingMen

ok, I'm tired and I've got a lot of tequila and I doubt I can speak coherent English right now but **** it, time to let it ripJames Richard Wompwompaloholy mother****ing **** you are a worthless ******* who I want to Phil Leotardo with my rav4 hybrid. the only downside is the sweet sweet sound of your cantaloupe breaking will be muffled by the spaceship sound my car makes going

I don’t remember making this post but I stand by every word




Spoiler
Show




Peerless hating, no notes

(The “womp” and Purdy situations may not end up being so different, is all I’m saying)


In the Green Bay game the 49ers had 17.5% win equity at one point according to ESPN. Vs the Lions it was as low as 8.5% equity. So my prediction is this: SF will beat KC but they will have less than 20% equity and somehow overcome that again becoming presumably the first champion in NFL history to win it all while having less than 20% equity at some point in every playoff game.


by ILOVEPOKER929

In the Green Bay game the 49ers had 17.5% win equity at one point according to ESPN. Vs the Lions it was as low as 8.5% equity. So my prediction is this: SF will beat KC but they will have less than 20% equity and somehow overcome that again becoming presumably the first champion in NFL history to win it all while having less than 20% equity at some point in every playoff ga

Basically the same as 4 years ago but reversed. Not sure how low Chiefs win equity was but it was looking grim


KC 27
SF 21

- - - - - - - - - -

coin toss: heads

player to score the first TD: Kelce

marriage proposal after the game: no

total number of Purdy turnovers: two (one INT and one lost fumble)


Marriage proposal: no seems like a solid bet

Call me a hopeless romantic but I actually believe the kelce swift thing is legit. Nothing would expose what a sham relationship this is more than a post Super Bowl proposal


by housenuts

Basically the same as 4 years ago but reversed. Not sure how low Chiefs win equity was but it was looking grim

Against Houston the win% was definitely below 10% at some point (they trailed 24-0). It was below 5% against the 49ers when they trailed by 10 in the 4th quarter before the 3rd&15.

But I doubt it went anywhere close to 20% against the Titans even when they trailed by 10 in the 2nd quarter. The model had them with a 75% win probability before the game.




One of them has a dad bod the other one looks like he's 13.


by madlex

One of them has a dad bod the other one looks like he's 13.

It’s kinda wild that after Sunday one of two things will conclusively happen:

1. Walrus will win and firmly plant his flag as the greatest coach of all time
2. Kyle will win and prove he can win a Super Bowl with literally anyone


by madlex

Against Houston the win% was definitely below 10% at some point (they trailed 24-0). It was below 5% against the 49ers when they trailed by 10 in the 4th quarter before the 3rd&15.

But I doubt it went anywhere close to 20% against the Titans even when they trailed by 10 in the 2nd quarter. The model had them with a 75% win probability before the game.

Below 5% 4 years ago was quite the comeback.


by housenuts

Basically the same as 4 years ago but reversed. Not sure how low Chiefs win equity was but it was looking grim

My guess without looking it up: KC had less than 10% equity in that SB.

Now I'll look it up: when SF was up 20-10 with 7:17 left in the game, Chiefs had 3.9% equity. My god it never felt that low.


by madlex

Against Houston the win% was definitely below 10% at some point (they trailed 24-0). It was below 5% against the 49ers when they trailed by 10 in the 4th quarter before the 3rd&15.

But I doubt it went anywhere close to 20% against the Titans even when they trailed by 10 in the 2nd quarter. The model had them with a 75% win probability before the game.

My god I had forgotten how crazy that chiefs run was. Looks like the low point equity for KC vs Titans was 38.7%. Vs Houston 6.1%.


by ILOVEPOKER929

My guess without looking it up: KC had less than 10% equity in that SB.

Now I'll look it up: when SF was up 20-10 with 7:17 left in the game, Chiefs had 3.9% equity. My god it never felt that low.

The Chiefs were one play away from a 4th and 15 for basically the game. The 9ers could have camped out at the sticks and made it incredibly difficult.




I can't believe there's 3 more days of blibbety blab.

Every local and national football podcast I listen to has already said everything there is to say.


by StoppedRainingMen

Call me a hopeless romantic but I actually believe the kelce swift thing is legit.



by ligastar

KC 27
SF 21

- - - - - - - - - -

coin toss: heads

player to score the first TD: Kelce

marriage proposal after the game: no

total number of Purdy turnovers: two (one INT and one lost fumble)

KC 26 - SF 20


SF 27 - KC 24

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