NL2 6-max - KJs UTG, turn top two, river spot
Hero (121bb) UTG with K♥J♥
BTN (86.5bb)
Villain is 30/17 over 30 hands (small sample, no other reads).
Hero opens K♥J♥ UTG to 2bb, CO (28bb) calls, BTN calls.
Flop (7.5bb): J♠ 5♦ 3♠
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets 3.5bb, Hero calls, CO calls.
Turn (18bb): K♦
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets 8.5bb, Hero raises to 25.5bb, CO folds, BTN calls.
River (69bb): A♠
Hero checks, BTN bets 52bb.
Hero?
My thoughts:
* Multiway I checked flop with TPGK.
* Turn felt like a clear value raise after improving to top two.
* River completes the front-door flush, QT gets there, and Ax improves.
* Villain calls the turn raise and then bets ~75% pot when checked to on the river.
Against a 30/17 profile (albeit over only 30 hands), is this a standard fold at NL2 population level, or should we be defending top two here sometimes?
Also interested in thoughts on the flop check and turn raise sizing.
4 Replies
Played absolutely fine, painful fold on the river.
Thanks guys.
My main uncertainty was the river. Flop check felt standard to me given it's multiway and the board is fairly dynamic.
On the river, after BTN calls the turn raise, I was struggling to find enough worse hands that would take this sizing for value or enough missed draws that would bluff often enough at NL2. That's what pushed me towards the fold.
Do you think population at NL2 is underbluffing here, or is this a spot where we're simply folding too high up in our range?
