$5.50 Mystery Bounty - AKo top two facing river jam in 3bet pot
$5.50 Mystery Bounty on GG Poker, deep run.
Blinds: 350/700 with ante.
Effective stacks: Hero covers SB. I had around 100bb to start the hand, SB around 57bb.
Preflop:
BTN opens to 1,400.
SB 3bets to 4,900.
Hero is BB with AKo and calls.
BTN folds.
Flop: Ah 6s 7h
Pot: around 17bb.
SB bets 4,200.
Hero calls.
Turn: Kh
Flush completes.
SB checks.
Hero bets 6,699.
SB calls.
River: 7s
Pot is around 48bb.
SB jams 29,030.
Hero has AK top two and folds.
My thought process:
Preflop I know AKo can 4bet here, but I decided to call in position against SB because we were deep and I thought his 3bet range was more value-heavy with BB still behind.
On the river, I thought his line was very strong:
3bet preflop, cbet flop, check/call turn when the flush completes, then jam river when the board pairs.
I felt like I was only beating bluffs, and I didn’t think population bluffs enough in this line. Hands like KK, A7s, AA, 66, 77 and some flushes made sense.
Too tight or good exploit fold?
11 Replies
I think it would be worth it to study how the prize pool works in mystery bounty tournaments and in that context how often you should cold call AKo in the BB to BTN open and SB 3-bet
I think it would be worth it to study how the prize pool works in mystery bounty tournaments and in that context how often you should cold call AKo in the BB to BTN open and SB 3-bet
Thanks for the reply.
Just to clarify: this hand was before Mystery Bounties were active, so there was no bounty/prize-pool pressure involved in the decision.
At that point it was basically a normal MTT spot: BB with AKo facing BTN open and SB 3bet, deep stacked. My main question is more about the river decision after the line went:
SB 3bet preflop → cbet flop → check/call turn when the flush completes → jam river when the board pairs.
Given that context, I felt population is heavily value-weighted and I’m mostly bluffcatching.
Gotcha. Yea you said deep run so i assumed itm. I think you always want to cold 4bet AKo in bb vs sb vs btn config. I would call as you beat value like A6 or A7 and he doesnt have many flushes with AKhh on the board but fold is probably fine.
4-bet pre. Even a jam is fine if button's stack is similar to SB's.
I don't think I ever find a fold here. I don't think there are a ton of hands that 3-bet that beat you, and the most obvious ones that do, you block (AA/KK) or the board blocks (77). There's only one combo of each. There likely isn't much 7x or 66 in his 3-bet range, and with the Ah and Kh on board, not many suited hands that 3-bet.
If you're worried about A7s, then which ace you have matters, because if you have the Ac or Ad, then there's only one combo of that, too.
Gotcha. Yea you said deep run so i assumed itm. I think you always want to cold 4bet AKo in bb vs sb vs btn config. I would call as you beat value like A6 or A7 and he doesnt have many flushes with AKhh on the board but fold is probably fine.
We don't beat A7...
I would 4-bet preflop to about 11 bb's. Just calling allows BTN to call and we would be in a big pot OOP. 4-betting allows us to get HU in position.
On the river I think I call because as nath points out there is 1 combo of AA, KK, 77 and possibly A7s. I also think 66 does not always raise preflop. And A7o likely wouldn't as well. Any 7x that isn't a boat wouldn't jam because you could have a flush.
If Villain has a flush I don't get why they wouldn't have led out the turn as they led out the flop.
Ultimately the reason I call is that when Villain called your turn bet they could be on a flush draw. And their flush draw missed, so the river jam could have been a bluff trying to make it look like they had a boat. Or a flush.
Yea my bad there. Sorry.
It could be easily, and in most cases is in $5.50 tourney:
SB 3-bets to steal bet and BB with some speculative hand or air
Bets on flop trying to represent ace
Decides on turn to steal pot
Goes all in on river
I have seen tons of these plays in micro MTTs, I would call. He can have a worse Ace or air... I would be surprised if I weren't ahead in at least 60% of cases. Depends if you have some read on him at least few hands also.
You can't. The open was to 2BB and the 3-bet was to 7BB. The minimum 3-bet is 12BB, and this deep I'd probably go more like 15BB.
...
I'm hoping it was a typo... I meant 21 bb's or 3x the 3 bet size (at 14,700). In these spots I want to get the BTN to fold. Now I know a lot of people 4-bet at about 2.5x the 3-bet size and I do that sometimes when it keeps me under 30% of the effective stack. But in general I 3x my 3-bets and 4-bets.
Check-call when the flush completes then jam a paired river is about as polarized a line as exists in MTT poker. Ran into nearly the same spot on ACR a while back, called it off thinking top two was good and got shown 77 for the full house. At 57bb starting stack SB doesn't have a ton of bluff combos that take that exact line, and A7s, 66, 77 all got there on the river, so the fold seems right to me.
good fold exploit