Blind Sqeeze with AQ
Keep saying I don’t like raising from the BB
1/3 8h
Just sat down with 400, both players have me covered.
UTG unknown, but looks like a rec
BTN is a chaser, I know his game - he will call down light, bet/raise when he hits - no bluffs
UTG opens 10
BTN calls
BB is Hero with AsQd
Hero raise 50
UTG folds quickly, BTN calls
I really thought I would fold both of them
(110) 9hQh2d
Hero?
11 Replies
Bet 40-50. Plenty of value to be had here.
Playing for stacks. Only question is two streets or three. I think I prefer a 75% or so on the flop with a turn shove. If you are really confident in the player read you could play the flop as a bet-fold.
Preflop is OK, heads up I'd have this hand as a pure call. Had the cold caller been from MP I might be more inclined to fold more often than not, but when the caller is from the button, especially given description, the squeeze seems OK.
Three street - or even two - value hand against described V. Checkback range is too wide to x/r so just go bet-bet-bet. Bet 90 and gii OTT unless its a terrible card like Jh.
Banana makes an important clarification: playing for stacks unless there's a card like Jh!
Seems a pretty clear card to check now, but probably not check-folding here: you could play the same way with a hand like AK with a heart, for example.
Banana makes an important clarification: playing for stacks unless there's a card like Jh!
Seems a pretty clear card to check now, but probably not check-folding here: you could play the same way with a hand like AK with a heart, for example.
Dunno, if the read is that V loves to chase, but never bluffs... I guess x/eval, call if V bets like 30 or so is fine. I think H's toast though, as this is a thread.
Incidentally, I'm betting flop at least as much as you advocated, maybe full pot+. This one's supposed to be pretty insensitive, after all, and flop is ~3 SPR. Agree with you on making it a two street game.
I think on my $200 shortstack I would definitely squeeze this weak looking open and a call. On a deeper stack, with the dead money not being as relatively big, and OOP, I'm not as likely to, and might lean towards just a flat. But I'll fully admit I don't feel I play as well deeper (and this is a big reason I sit on a shortstack). In the end, probably aim to get yourself in spots you feel more comfortable in, so if you don't like squeezing here, then don't.
Pretty good result. An SPR of 3.5 on a drawy board against a guy who will call down light and we have TPTK. Board is fairly drawy, so at this SPR I probably lean to a PSB on the flop to setup a turn jam.
ETA: I'm not a fan of small flop cbets when committed against stations on drawy boards. When not committed / dry boards / thinking player / etc. then a downbet is much more fine, imo. As played, this is one of the nut low cards. Doubt we should be betting when one of the nut low cards comes in, so I change my commitment plan, check, and see what he does.
GcluelesssqueezynoobG
Hero 100, v call
(390) 9hQh2dJh (5c)
Hero jams 294
V calls with AdJc
Expected a fold all along the way
Maybe the small flop bet allowed him to get hooked with the Jack. We both denied the idea a flush hit.
Maybe some flaws here, but when worse calls, even if it’s just playing the man, when the value bet is good, I’m happy.
B30-40 flop, x this turn or b25 turn as an exploit v this player type. Triple barreling all in is way too thin
Hero 100, v call
(390) 9hQh2dJh (5c)
Hero jams 294
V calls with AdJc
Expected a fold all along the way
Maybe the small flop bet allowed him to get hooked with the Jack. We both denied the idea a flush hit.
Maybe some flaws here, but when worse calls, even if it’s just playing the man, when the value bet is good, I’m happy.
So were we bluffing?
Or were we value betting?
IMO, the thought process just seems a little muddled, in that you often take these aggro-I-think-they're-going-to-fold (i.e. bluffing) lines with hands that really shouldn't often be in our bluffing bucket (such as TP).
Given the lol results, there's a decent argument for playing the hand the way we did on later streets (i.e. playing for stacks) against this guy since he obviously calls down very light. But if we're doing that, we're doing it for value and wanting calls (not expecting folds).
My guess is that you arrive in a lot of situations where you've just put in your stack, gotten called, and your first thought is "oh, ****, I guess I'm no good". This is obviously fine when we're attempting to steal the pot with T high. It's not so fine otherwise.
Gnothatin',justsayin'G
My first reaction in spot like this would be to check and making my hand look like a scared AK with intentions of CR and playing for stacks on flop. However, against this player type seems like a clear b/b/b on most runouts.
