NL2 - A2 facing big river bet
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 95 BB
CO: 92 BB
BTN: 100 BB
SB: 104.5 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2♣ A♣
fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (5 BB, 2 players) A♠ 3♥ T♥
SB bets 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB
Turn: (10 BB, 2 players) 7♠
SB bets 6 BB, Hero calls 6 BB
River: (22 BB, 2 players) 7♦
SB bets 31 BB, ???
VP-23/PR-19 on 575 hands on villian.
4 Replies
- I would 3bet pre
- Close on the river. Villain gets here with plenty of combo draws, and may be trying to target your Tx and 3x with their bluffs. If I think they're capable of triple barrel with bluffs here, I'd call most of the time. If WWSF and W$SD stats are high, I'd fold.
Unless I had a first person read on this player telling me otherwise.. I'm going to fold.
I'd take this hand and position as speculative from the start.
A small pre flop raise between the blinds can be literally anything at that stake, true. But... with the escalating aggression, my bet ... is you are facing a stronger A and maybe even the 3 10 or 7. AND your opponent has you pegged on a weaker one... hoping you are getting sticky with it. I woudn't be vibing bluff.
The OB makes it tempting to call as players at micros struggle to bet thin enough BVB and if they like to bluff this size, they will over do it. However with it being 2nl and no more information, I would default to folding. Static Ace high board and paired river is underbluffed and you likely would have folded a lot of your smaller pairs on the turn.
I would also check his stats for any other clues (if you are on stars or a hud site) - Sample is too small for any clear river data, but if their cbet/double barrel/checkraise/flop raise are high, it shows they like to fight for pots + land on this river wider than they should.
I don't think 3betting A2s is a good idea, you probably have to fold vs a 4bet and folding this hand BvB is painful.