1/2: Turned straight facing shove
$1/$2 live, effective stacks ~$385
• CO is a tightish recreational player
• He typically opens larger (~$15) with AK / JJ / TT type hands
• This $10 open felt weak relative to his normal sizing
• Because of this, AK / JJ / TT are discounted preflop
• Not very aggressive postflop, but can overvalue made hands
• Hero has been tight and capable of squeezing
⸻
Hero in SB with K♦️9♦️
UTG limps,
CO (tightish rec, ~$385) opens to $10 (smaller than usual),
BTN calls $10,
Hero squeezes to $55 in SB,
CO calls, BTN folds.
Pot ~$125
Flop: Q♠ Q♣ J♣
Hero bets $40,
CO calls.
Pot ~$205
Turn: T♠
Hero bets $80,
CO jams ~$210 more.
Hero?
I’m thinking this could obv be some QJs/QTs or TT/AK. But given my original reads, this feels more like AQ/KQs.
6 Replies
Normally I would snap this off but it is worth at least considering that you could easily have AK or better and he does not care. It’s up to you to decide if this is the kind of player where that matters.
Tough one, but call flop, raise turn is such a nutted line (especially from a tight reg). At worst he's over valuing AQ or KQ, but he's probably crishing you, and he's got to put AK in your range and he seems entirely unphased by it.
I make a nitty fold here.
Grunch:
PRE - don't squeeze K9.
FLOP - just check from OOP with only a GSSD and no FD.
TURN - fold.
Fold preflop
I think preflop is fine if you have a legit sizing tell. It's certainly not mandatory. If you tell us that dude ends up with AK/JJ/TT it will be worse.
Flop is probably a range bet? Even if it's not, you have the perfect hand to triple off, blocking QX, unblocking flush draws, retaining some bailout equity. I would rather bluff your hand than some OESD and FD hands, because you really don't mind folding facing raise.
I think your turn size isn't good. You want to bet a size that easily sets up stacks on the river, whether that's a geometric size or a big turn bet followed by a small river bet. Plus, it's a double flushdraw board with three to a straight -- there is so much value to be had.
OTR, we discount some boats due to preflop. I would also think we discount more boats because many will trap turn with the two flushdraws out there. His line seems more indicative of QX or maybe a trapped AA? Maybe the same hand? There are also tons of semi-bluffs. You are getting a good price. I would call.
I don't mind pre, but I don't do it w/ this hand -- maybe from the BTN or vs a different type of player.
Flop is fine. Turn is fine, too, but if he's actually tight, you are probably toast. That said, he could do this w/ AQ or KQ, so I sigh call now that I'm here.