Pretty gross river spot 200bb deep
PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
BTN: 105.92 BB
SB: 114.32 BB
BB: 104.16 BB
UTG: 101.28 BB
Hero (MP): 218.72 BB
CO: 333.68 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9♣ 9♦
fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, CO raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 5 BB
Flop: (15.4 BB, 2 players) 3♦ 2♥ 6♠
Hero checks, CO bets 11.04 BB, Hero calls 11.04 BB
Turn: (37.48 BB, 2 players) 9♥
Hero checks, CO checks
River: (37.48 BB, 2 players) T♥
Hero bets 11.8 BB, CO raises to 315.64 BB and is all-in, fold
CO wins 58.32 BB
I folded the river but the more I think about the spot, the more I think villain may have just had AK w a ♥ or even an overpair w a ♥ they've turned into a bluff.
What flushes go b75 flop, X turn?
Would they really jam TT for 200bb?
I could see them bet AK/AQ w a ♥ on the flop tring to fold out my 2 overcard hands, X turn and then jam river blocking nut flush vs my small bet
Solver thinks it's a 50/50 call/fold but I feel like in real life people would barrel their FDs on the turn more than solver does
Would you call or fold?
6 Replies
Interesting hand. I believe some players will find the flush draw check back on the turn. After all you just called a big bet on the flop and the turn card is not the best for their range. For example I play too passive in general and I'm sure I would check back the nut flush draw here pretty often.
I guess river is an unfrequent call in theory, vs an unknown microstakes opponent I would fold 100% and not lose my sleep.
Not gross
Nh
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I can solve it and post it here if you want
They always just have the nuts here
