1-2 nl top AAA shove now?

1-2 nl top AAA shove now?

Stacks: MP $225, Hero $425, villain covers.

History with this V includes a set over set on a 3-flush flop where I had cbet, turn checked thru and river paired board and ended up with me paying off a min-raise, losing $150ish on the hand. V is active with smaller preflop raises and limps but generally not wild postflop.

MP raises to $7, V goes to $17 on the button, Hero 4bets A A in the BB to $55. MP folds and BTN calls after a few ticks

Flop ($111) A 9 7
Hero bets $40 and V raises to $100, we ..?

12 January 2026 at 04:55 PM
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17 Replies



There is 300 in the pot and 75 behind with possible straight and flush draws. Obviously easy shove. If he folds, he folds. That is unlikely and not a disaster.


Really should not be many flush or straight draws in his range, perhaps KcQc, but not many villains at 1/2 are 3 betting KcQc. Smells very heavily AK. Not sure he gets away from it if we jam (especially if has Kc) which is my prefernece, but I don't think flatting and letting him hang himself on turn is bad either.


Seems pointless to flat with 1/4 pot behind.


by deuceblocker

Seems pointless to flat with 1/4 pot behind.

Villain covers us but honestly I was just as confused as you at first. MP folds to our 4bet. Not sure why his stack size is included as it's confusing for no reason.

Not sure what I like most but probably just fast playing this, villain seems to be willing to put money in the middle and plenty of turns could potentially kill our action.


Sorry if MP was confusing, was included in case any discussion on preflop was warranted (smaller 4b, flat, etc)

Effective 250-275 more behind after V flop raise.


Yes, Hero is effective with $425 to start. MP ($225) folded.

I still just jam it in. If he folds, he folds.


Grunch:

If we were deeper I'd say a 3B folds too many hands. With at least 2 SPR left, I'd probably just call, but with a plan to donk any turn that doesn't complete the most obvious draws.

Here, we only have $330 left. If we call we'll have $270? I might just jam. If we just call, I think we can just stick the rest in on any turn.


If we call, we have 270, but villain has 75. That is why I say shove for 1/4 pot.


by deuceblocker

If we call, we have 270, but villain has 75. That is why I say shove for 1/4 pot.

Was addressed in previous posts.
"Stacks: MP $225, Hero $425, villain covers."
Villain =/= MP


My style is just double the 100 raise
It’s less threatening and gets called more.
The not wild post-flop guy calls this bet.

This is not about pot odds
It’s about getting the money in
and not let him wake up deciding
that maybe he isn’t ‘good’ afterall.


This V seems to like to minclick when they feel they're in the lead, but may not call or shove over H's raise. So though I would've made it 70 pf over a 17 3!, your size was probably better for getting a call.

V's dinky raise here seems like they really like the Ace. Maybe they've KQcc, and are getting way out over their skis vs a H who has every sign of actually having an Ace, but I agree with those of you that this feels like AK. Do we think this V might fold AK to a 3!-shove? If so, call then. What do they think of H? That H only shoves something like AA/AK here, and that you might be trying to get them off a chop?

Do you know if V likes to size their bluffs/semi-bluffs small too?

At first, I thought "Call, duh." But now I've talked myself into a jam, hoping V levels themselves into calling.


by Nh, gg.

This V seems to like to minclick when they feel they're in the lead, but may not call or shove over H's raise.

That was what I took away from the earlier confrontation where V had thought about it and decided to go for value with a hand that was not the nuts but action and combinatorics indicated was very strong.

Do we think this V might fold AK to a 3!-shove? If so, call then. What do they think of H?

Do you know if V likes to size their bluffs/semi-bluffs small too?

Not sure. In the prior hand I think he would have had to call but the remaining stacks were not as deep. They probably view H as tag but not nitty. Hadn't seen any big bluffs or semi bluff, and there aren't too many semi bluff combos.

At first, I thought "Call, duh." But now I've talked myself into a jam, hoping V levels themselves into calling.

In position I think it's a call but oop I will prob have to come out betting on the turn which could look like I hit my card if it's Q, J, or club.


In the earlier hand he flopped a set on a monotone board, then min-clicked the river when he boated up, but didn't have the nuts. To me that looks indecisive, or risk-averse. He'd rather probe than commit to his hand.

Here, he's min-clicking the flop, and we have top set. If we think this is what he does with strong but non-nutted hands, he should have 2P at a minimum. Since he 3B pre and called a 4B, it's hard for him to have any 2P combo, so he's basically just repping 99.

He's probably not 3B'ing pre, calling a 4B, and then min-clicking the flop with just 1P, even AK. And if he is raising with AK, he may think it's the strongest hand he'll ever have here, and he's not folding, even to a 3B on the flop. If we have the 1 combo of AA, he's just going broke.

If he doesn't have 2P+ for value, or at least AK, then he's very likely completely FOS, and isn't putting another dime into the pot if we call the raise. So we may as well jam.

With the Ac on board, he might level himself into thinking we have KQcc if he doesn't have either of those cards in his hand. If he does have AxKc or AxQc, I'd want to get as much money as possible on the flop, before the turn brick comes and he doesn't pick up any equity to continue.


Results:

Spoiler
Show

H shoves, V insta calls. I expect to see 99 but it's AK with no backdoor draw


by docvail

In the earlier hand he flopped a set on a monotone board, then min-clicked the river when he boated up, but didn't have the nuts. To me that looks indecisive, or risk-averse. He'd rather probe than commit to his hand..

He thought for a bit longer in the previous hand, which was to me like, "ok I have a good hand but let me review the action and figure out what H has". I think he put me on trips there.

In this hand, it seemed like more of a gut reaction: "I hit my flop, now I raise" without thinking thru what H might have. I guess he could have optimisticaly put me on KK/QQ... Hence the small raise begging for a call to see one more card


Exploiting here we should raise small and make him stack off over several streets.


by Man of Means

Results:

Spoiler
Show

H shoves, V insta calls. I expect to see 99 but it's AK with no backdoor draw

Easy game.

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