How should hero respond with a low flush against a river overbet jam on a paired board?
9-handed $0.10/$0.25 with $0.10 ante on GG.
PREFLOP
Two folds to villain (400bbs) in LJ, who opens to 3bbs. Folds to hero (350bbs) on the button who 3bets to 7bbs with 6♥5♥. SB (100bbs) cold 4bets to 17.6bbs. Villain calls, hero calls.
FLOP (57bbs)
7♥9♥2♦
Checks to hero, who bets 28.5bbs. SB folds, villain calls.
TURN (114bbs)
7♥9♥2♦9♣
Villain checks, hero bets 48.6bbs (giving myself a good price on a bluff, repping 9x or better, and leaving enough behind for a large river jam on some runouts if I miss), villain calls.
RIVER (209bbs)
7♥9♥2♦9♣J♥
Villain jams for 255bbs effective. Hero...?
2 Replies
LJ opens, BTN 3bets, and SB cold 4bets.
A very tight configuration already!
LJ and BTN call.
SB has a premium most of the time and the occasional bluff. LJ is calling next to act so he could have AA also but he could also have a hands like yours trying to stack you. Even though he shouldn't really call in this spot, cuz he is going to be a monkey in the middle. Given that he called his most likely holding is based on his player type (If he is aggressive, he is most likely holding a weak hand like 65s, 77. If he is passive, his most likely is AA, AK [Being trappy given that he is next to act] but he is very unlikely to hold something like KK, QQ, )
Flop 7♥9♥2♦
Checks to BTN. BTN has 6♥5♥. What if BTN bets here? SB will jam his premium, call his draws and fold his missed suited aces. LJ will do pretty much the same thing. BUT this is a tight configuration. With 6♥5♥ You will fold to his premiums, you will hate it when he calls. Is this an overfolded spot? What does the SB fold here? A Suited Aces no heart? Your bluff has very low equity against his calls range which is pretty much Ax of hearts. If you were somehow heads-up with LJ and somehow SB folded given that he could check, I would say it is a decent bluff. Add to that it is a multiway pot, if it was heads-up against SB only. I would still check my 6♥5♥ because his calling range is Strong PP and Ace high flush draws. (Tell me if I should explain more). I would also bet smaller in a multi-way pot.
Turn 9♣
Now lets see his range after his call. He called last to act, the chance of him trapping is less now. What does villain has? I would guess flush draws are concentrated in his range. My hand is not a semi-bluff, it is a complete bluff in my eyes. To maximize fold equity I would check raise all-in, much better than betting half pot.
River J♥
I would check/fold to a big bet, NGL, all his hands get there! What is his range? Flushes. I am not happy with that river!
Thank you for your read, I would really like to hear your thoughts to help me learn. <3 <3 <3
Preflop 3B size is way too small, should go for around 12BB instead.
Ok with flop and turn play. Easy fold on the river.
