NL25 TT in 3b pot vs two fish
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD 2 Poker HUD and Database Software
NL Holdem 0.25(BB)
UTG ($27.78) [VPIP: 17.4% | PFR: 12.8% | AGG: 25% | Hands: 89]
HJ ($30.65) [VPIP: 23% | PFR: 13.8% | AGG: 23.3% | Hands: 88]
HERO ($73.30)
BTN ($8.65) [VPIP: 17.4% | PFR: 12.8% | AGG: 11.1% | Flop Agg: 11.1% | Turn Agg: 20% | River Agg: 0% | 3Bet: 2.9% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 10.5% | Hands: 86]
SB ($28.76) [VPIP: 28.1% | PFR: 24.6% | AGG: 38.9% | Hands: 57]
BB ($16.44) [VPIP: 43.6% | PFR: 26.9% | AGG: 30.6% | Flop Agg: 27.8% | Turn Agg: 20% | River Agg: 66.7% | 3Bet: 2.9% | Fold to 3Bet: 50% | 4Bet: 25% | Hands: 82]
Dealt to Hero: T♥ T♦
UTG Folds, HJ Folds, HERO Raises To $0.75, BTN Calls $0.75, SB Folds, BB Raises To $1.53, HERO Calls $0.78, BTN Calls $0.78
Hero SPR on Flop: [1.52 effective]
Flop ($4.69): 6♥ 7♥ 9♣
BB Bets $3.52 (Rem. Stack: $11.39), HERO ? ? ?
BTN seemed a bit fishy given his stack, but was on a tighter side. Still, 86 hands is a low sample to confirm that. Might have some PPs, suited connectors and Axs.
BB on the other hand seemed way looser. I was considering jamming preflop with TT, but it seemed just a bit not enough for 60 BBs, I will be 2nd to act, price is good, call.
It's quite hard to have TT and flop an overpair, but there it is, together with a gutshot and possible BDFD.
Which option is the best here?
1. Fold - it's hard to fold one of the best flops with two fishy players at this stack depth
2. Call - reasonable, but there is literally majority of the deck that might be tough and I will be pot comitted
3. Jam - sounds intuitive, but my equity against two players might not be the best. It all depends on how much fold equity I have against BB and how loose he can c-bet this flop.
This is my rough estimation of BTN's and BB's ranges, respectively
Board:
[6h 7h 9c]
Equity Win Tie
MP2 25.36% 23.68% 1.68% TdTh
MP3 38.15% 37.48% 0.67% TT-66, A9s, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, JhTh, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h
CO 36.49% 35.31% 1.18% TT+, AhKh, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, KhJh, AhTh, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc
3 Replies
Nice easy call here. Don’t see what jamming really achieves? The fish can easily barrel AK here which we
Would fold out with the ship - fish will play face up In these spots and you’ll see with their bet sizing where they’re at so I call here and see how they proceed on turn
Right. My thought process was that literally half of the deck is going o kill the action and I cannot be sure if my ♥ outs are clean, so I thought it's better to ship it now and earn some EV with small of fold equity that I might have.
FWIW, solver thinks this is a jam preflop, which doesn't sound too bad either and saves us from problems like the above ;p Which might be the highest EV play too given the stack depth.
