NL5z - Ugly Spot with Set on 4-2-Straight Board

NL5z - Ugly Spot with Set on 4-2-Straight Board

GG Poker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 140.4 BB
Hero (SB): 263.8 BB
BB: 43.6 BB
UTG: 100.2 BB
MP: 171.2 BB
CO: 214 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J J

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.2 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, BTN raises to 22 BB, Hero calls 13 BB

Flop: (45 BB, 2 players) Q K 9
Hero checks, BTN bets 11.4 BB, Hero raises to 22.8 BB, BTN calls 11.4 BB

Turn: (90.6 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 27.2 BB, BTN calls 27.2 BB

River: (145 BB, 2 players) T
Hero checks, BTN bets 68.4 BB and is all-in, Hero ?

Villain is unknown. I check-raised flop to represent KQ+ and put pressure on AK, AA, I think it's a nasty spot for these hands. River is kinda weird. Pot Odds are great, but villain has so many Ax in his range. Call or fold?

08 November 2025 at 10:38 PM
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3 Replies



I don't think a minraise puts a lot of pressure on AA or AK, those hands have an easy call on the flop, maybe sometimes even a raise.
The Jc on the turn is not that great and the board is very dynamic, I am not sure you really want to bet. They are supposed to have QTs, JTs, KTs, ATs in their preflop 4bet range at some frequency, and anyway you still lose to KK, QQ.

You keep adding money into a pot where your equity is not great, out of position. Complete butchery on the flop and on the turn in my opinion.


AP i would just shove turn for a psb. River i doubt is bluffing enough

But the x/r is bad. I would estimate fold equity to be around 0%


What’s your thought process regarding the flop raise? In particular the min raise? I don’t like your line vs the average 4betting range here we’re not really in great shape- are villains at this level 4bet bluffing enough? In my experience most villains have a pretty static range across all positions that would surely make hero’s line -EV?

River is an easy fold imo

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