Not really a conspiracy theory guy, but this is so sick.
1 month. ~70k hands ... 5850bb below EV??? WTF!!!! I am playing Holdem!!! (I think even 5C PLO this would be a terrible run)
Graph is pre rake. Actual amount I am playing ~9.2bb/100 and getting around 0.6bb/100 =D.
Before my EV were +2000bb in Rush and Cash and -2000bb in Ante Game.
Now I am ACTUALLY 5850bb in the hole, -7850bb in Ante Game over 600k hands.
Possibility #1:
I am running at the bottom 0.5% (according to primedope)
Possibility #2:
The EV is incorrect (e.g. villains colluding, sharing cards) - I think the effect / possibility is minimal.
Possibility #3:
Poker is rigged =D. I doubt it. But damn this feels so bad.
3 Replies
60 stacks below EV in 70k NLHE hands is not unheard of. Pretty bad, but I've seen 1M hand graphs where a player has at some point been that much or more below EV, and then ended up being overall that much above EV. So just sit your ass down and grind more =D
67stacks below EV over ~95k hands. After rake, BR is growing only via rakeback and bonus. Need a mental break.
