NL10 - Full House Facing all in
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 117.5 BB
BTN: 50 BB
SB: 107 BB
Hero (BB): 104 BB
UTG: 121.4 BB
MP: 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ A♦
fold, MP raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.5 BB
Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦ A♥ A♠
Hero checks, MP bets 1.3 BB, Hero calls 1.3 BB
Turn: (8.1 BB, 2 players) J♥
Hero checks, MP bets 7.9 BB, Hero calls 7.9 BB
River: (23.9 BB, 2 players) J♠
Hero checks, MP bets 88.3 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 88.3 BB
I lose to AQ, and JJ, best I can hope for is a chop.
Should I be calling here with this big bet?
5 Replies
Against AQ + JJ + AK + Axs we have 38.889%
If we add A9o+ we get up to 41.667%
We need 44% equity to call
If villain is ever bluffing here, it's a call, if not it's a fold.
If we add just JTs or QJs then the call becomes +EV
Not sure how often ppl are bluffing here. I probably would just call assuming ppl are at least sometimes bluffing.
Assuming I'm reading this right:

I think it's good fold. Not every Ax will jam but all super nuts will.
Fold. NL10 guys don’t bluff here. Value = AQ/JJ only. You’re dust.
This is a spot where I can find a fold and not be too worried about it to be honest. I don’t think villains are shoving worse here/ air enough for it to be +EV
No. Fold. Pot odds and line = fold. Villain’s range = value. Don’t give them the chop.