NL5z - Herocall with A high in 3bet pot
GG Poker - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 92.8 BB
Hero (SB): 163 BB
BB: 244.8 BB
UTG: 138.8 BB
MP: 102 BB
CO: 264 BB
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♦ 3♦
fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, CO calls 7 BB
Flop: (19 BB, 2 players) 4♣ J♦ T♦
Hero bets 5.8 BB, CO calls 5.8 BB
Turn: (30.6 BB, 2 players) 8♣
Hero bets 24.6 BB, CO calls 24.6 BB
River: (79.8 BB, 2 players) 7♣
Hero checks, CO bets 40 BB, Hero ?
Villain is unknown. On this runout, I think that villain will only value bet w/ 9x straights and ♣ flushs, not too many combos overall. I need just 25% equity for the call. Given that there are many more combos of KQ, this boils down to something like this
Board: J♦T♦4♣ 8♣ 7♣
Equity Win Tie
MP2 28.30% 28.30% 0.00% { Ad3d }
MP3 71.70% 71.70% 0.00% { 99, AKs, KQs, AcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Ad9d, Ac9c, Tc9c, AQo+, KQo }
Also B50 looks rather bluffy to me wrt mda.
5 Replies
I think the A♦ is a really bad blocker here, and our line doesn't make much sense for value. Gotta give up sometimes and hyper wet boards better for IP are good starters
With the range youve calculated, villain has to bluff every single combo of random overs. If they do, yeah its a profitable call. Do they though? You have also missed a few suited connectors that are a straight one way or the other, or a pair with a club/diamond turning into a bluff (that we lose to) etc.
That river sizing does look bluffy, but bro it’s so hard to pull the trigger with just ace high in a 3bet pot. You’re probably right that his value range is super narrow though
Your ranges for a random villian are way too narrow.
I think it is good that you are thinking of ranges on 5NL! However the money is in overfolding the river on these stakes. I think you can add some more randow value hands then add more bluffs to villain his range. i think it is not neccesary to call in these spots in order to beat 5nl. I think you can ad J9s maybe some 2 pairs maybe a set etc. I Think he doesnt have Aks in his range. Furthermore they use wrong hands to bluff with, I could imagion that he uses AQo as a bluff here etc. So folding is better than calling imo.
