AAxx vs 3bet, 4bet, 5bet, is this always a shove? or a fold?
20Plo - Clubgg - 7 handed - min 35 vpip.
Hero (MP): 122.95 BB
CO: 106.95 BB (VPIP: 52.17, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
BTN: 29.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
SB: 97.5 BB (VPIP: 27.85, PFR: 13.92, 3Bet Preflop: 5.71, Hands: 100)
BB: 296.3 BB (VPIP: 71.43, PFR: 4.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
UTG: 94.5 BB
UTG+1: 44.45 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, UTG posts penalty blind 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♥ 9♣ 6♠
UTG raises to 3.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 3.5 BB, CO raises to 15.5 BB, BTN raises to 29.5 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, UTG raises to 94.5 BB and is all-in
Hero???
AAxx vs 3bet, 4bet, 5bet, is this always a shove? or maybe it's a fold?
7 Replies
I think standard is to fold here, it’s quite likely someone has AA and our equity is terrible.
Looking at their pfr and 3b stats makes me want to fold even more.
Definitely folding. You have very little connectivity with your rainbow AA hand and it is quite likely someone else has AA as well. Not many hands to go off of, but this is the first time any of them have 3b+.
Its an awkward spot. Obviously we don't want to fold only for UTG to reveal AKK and CO to fold behind.
Fold is fine
it is close, but I think in Omaha 4 it is a shove because BTN is short (29BBs).
if both opponents were deep, I understand the fold.
Against a good AAxx you split around 65%, win 10% which the worse case. With dead money, I don't see a fold.
Their preflop stats make me want to consider it but I've seen far too many light shoves from loose players shorter than 100bbs so I'm not folding.
We are probably breakeven vs 2 random rundowns. We are in bad shape if their cards don’t overlap with each other.
Their ranges are weighted more towards high cards and high pairs imo
