Mind if i take your 4b pot there?
'Initiative'?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 76.7 BB
Hero (SB): 192.4 BB
BB: 112.1 BB
UTG: 420.8 BB
MP: 115.8 BB
CO: 100 BB
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♣ J♠
UTG raises to 2.5 BB, MP calls 2.5 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 14 BB, fold, UTG raises to 28.5 BB, fold, Hero calls 14.5 BB
Flop: (60.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣ A♠ 3♥
Hero checks, UTG checks
Turn: (60.5 BB, 2 players) 9♦
Hero checks, UTG checks
River: (60.5 BB, 2 players) Q♦
Hero raises to 163.90 BB and is all-in
5 Replies
What size do you think? I couldn't decide in game. Anything under pot seems bluffy.. like he might find some heroes.. we're repping the ultranuts so.. like 1.25/1.5x overbet?
I don't think he has Qx very often. AQ/QQ aint checking twice. KQ super rare @ these limits, even rarer >100bb
I mean his range is super narrow even 1 combo can be significant % of the range.
I think most regs fold KK to 2/3 but yeah maybe pot or something is even better.
It's funny looking at the GTO because UTG is supposed to bet almost all Kx by now but it's very likely, given runout after two checks they bet almost none, which means they're even more ludicrously capped and our unblockers rock.
I think we can even jam range here. Any lower underpairs that for whatever reason got involved pre. Jamming AJs or A5s would be sick. Pot+ is probably best alpha. I would fold KK for b55+ but field is station city, thankfully
Villains river landing range looks like KK (6 combos), A5s (4 combos) and AA (3 combos). Alpha is 73%. Given my assumed range fold equity is somewhere around 77% if they don't bluff catch w/ A5s.
