[MICRO] NL10 AQs - call with A-high OTR in 3b pot?
No info about CO, seemed like a reg. I am wondering if this is a justified call or a fold.
Pros for a call:
- missed FDs (ATs-AQs, QJs, JTs) (5)
- potentially some other floats like AsJx (1-2 combos?)
Cons:
- KQs (1), KJs (2), maybe some AK given the stack depth (6 combos maybe?)
- 88 (3)
- potentially some thin value with QQ-JJ? (3 combos maybe)
- that gives us 7 : 15 = 46%
However, people underbluff rivers and the sizing is big too. What do you think?
NL Holdem 0.1(BB)
CO ($15.55) [VPIP: 29.2% | PFR: 16.9% | AGG: 35% | Flop Agg: 33.3% | Turn Agg: 20% | River Agg: 66.7% | 3Bet: 16% | 4Bet: 0% | Hands: 66]
HERO ($15.70) [VPIP: 28.8% | PFR: 24.4% | AGG: 42% | Flop Agg: 49.2% | Turn Agg: 47.5% | River Agg: 36% | 3Bet: 11.2% | Fold to 3Bet: 59.5% | 4Bet: 16.7% | Hands: 3269]
SB ($16.25) [VPIP: 28.1% | PFR: 19.3% | AGG: 27.6% | Hands: 59]
BB ($10.28) [VPIP: 18.4% | PFR: 6.1% | AGG: 14.3% | Hands: 50]
Dealt to Hero: A♥ Q♥
CO Raises To $0.30, HERO Raises To $1, SB Folds, BB Folds, CO Calls $0.70
Hero SPR on Flop: [6.77 effective]
Flop ($2.15): 8♣ K♠ 4♠
CO Checks, HERO Bets $0.80 (Rem. Stack: $13.90), CO Calls $0.80 (Rem. Stack: $13.75)
Turn ($3.75): 8♣ K♠ 4♠ K♦
CO Checks, HERO Checks
River ($3.75): 8♣ K♠ 4♠ K♦ 7♦
CO Bets $2.82 (Rem. Stack: $10.93), HERO ? ? ?
2 Replies
I think we need to barrel turn here.
We'll get some QQ-99 to fold and villain might still have some lower pockets too that fold mostly.
Also denying equity to flush draws.
Might even barrel again on the river with this runout.
Only thing that can call is pretty much Kx and there's not a lot of combos of that left.
River is an easy fold imo.
Good remarks here. There will be plenty of FDs and low pairs, I also block KQs combos, there is only one left and not too many KQo either.
