lost a huge pot as an 88 percent favorite

I guess the title is the thread

Live 1/3 at Rivers in Des Plaines

Holding pocket 9s, pre-flop a guy raises $20, I just call

Flop is 9c5d2c. I have the nuts, only worried about a club draw

Same better leads out for $65. I decide to make him think long and hard about his draw. I make it $220

He goes into the tank for 3 or 4 minutes. Decides to go all in. I have $500, he covers me

A flush only completes 35% of the time, and if the board pairs or I get the case 9 I beat the flush anyway. I believe I'm a 75% favorite, and decide not to fold the nuts

He flips over KcKs. My mind reels. I'm not a 75% favorite. I'm an 88% favorite.

Turn comes with a club. I'm still a 77% favorite

River is a club

God damn!!

(I'd do it again)

15 October 2025 at 08:40 PM
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