Actors/Scrips I knew would win the Oscar after viewing

Gladiator

Raging Bull for best picture, 1980

Lincoln for best picture, 2012 (This was a tough year, with stiff competition from Django Unchained, Life of Pi and Zero Dark Thirty, but I was sure about this one.)

And, obviously, Samuel L. Jackson, Best Supporting Actor for Pulp Fiction, 1994. Everyone knew he was the only deserving candidate for that one.

so you were wrong on all three?

Brando twice.

If you haven't seen Last Tango in Paris, you're missing out on one of the greatest performances ever in film history.

Oh, yes, the Godfather.

But Brando didn't win for Tango

Actually, I would say the Academy was wrong, since my choices have all stood the test of time, and the winners are largely forgotten.

why not start your own thread about that then?

Mikey Madison, Anora "Ani" Mikheeva

The final scene in the movie had me sure she would win. Demi Moore, Elisabeth Sparkle was winning a lot of the awards through the year, but I never wavered on the flip to Mikey happening at the Oscars.

holy crap blast from the past

How did he not win for this scene alone?

Where in this thread does it say that I had to be right? It only says that I had to know they would win.

Ones I saw after the awards were given [when I was too young to make these predictions] but knew must have won:

Bobby DeNiro, Jake LaMotta
Gene Hackman, Popeye Doyle
Jack Nicholson, Randle McMurphy

That's a really good idea

There's a lot of performances that clearly should have won the oscar but didn't even get on the list.

Recent examples:
Mia Goth in Pearl, Betty Gilpin in The Hunt

older examples - lots, but standout for me was Sean Connery in The Offence

I'm surprised that nobody has mentioned Forrest. Forrest Gump.

Not because it was the best movie or actor of the year (it wasn't), but because it was such Oscar bait and had Tom Hanks near the top of his game.

I didn't mention it because it's a bad film and his performance was mostly one-note. But it certainly was oscar bait.

why do people say "win THE Oscar?" Like there's only one of them you can win? It should be "win AN Oscar."

Stop grading papers. This is a poker forum. Now I'm surrounded by grammarians and Red Sox fans. How did my life come to this?

I understand no one here actually cares about me except ray but you didn’t even say hi.

It’s a Muhammad Ali thing.

I was sure Tilda Swinton wouldn’t even get nominated for Michael Clayton.

It was on the other day and it’s shockingly terrible albeit an accurate reflection of the last days of Reaganism.

Hi!

I never meant to accuse you of being a Red Sox fan.

I will try harder in the future.

Your pal,
Phat Mack

Thank you so much. I can accept that you arenÂ’t lumping me in with red sox fans.
If anyone sounds crazy in this exchange it would be me, so I think I should address what the topic is naturally about.

When I was three years old I saw the little mermaid(1989) in theatres. I didnÂ’t know what the oscars were but if I did I certainly would have correctly assumed it would win an award.
Chicago(2002) I knew would win some awards upon first viewing, an absolute masterpiece.
MillionDollar Baby(2007) was a movie I knew had enough weight and gravitas behind in its scenes that I knew it was certainly winning something.