FT, 7 handed with TT

FT, 7 handed with TT

Hi, some Hyper $1.88 MTT, we're 7 handed, Im the second shortest stack with 6.5bb and TT, first short stack is 3.5bb, other stacks are 10bb or more. Villan with 10bb, a good player, opens from UTG with a 2bb minrase, Im next to act and. Payjumps are like 7-$55, 6-$70, 5-$90. We all know what hand he has. Should i jam regardless, having this stack?

30 July 2025 at 10:54 AM
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10 Replies


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I'd say so, your hand is far too good here.


by BarracudaNL

I'd say so, your hand is far too good here.

That were my thoughts too, but in general, when i know that 100% i have worse hand and jamming (which is like calling a shove here) seems kinda naive in ICM cirrcumstances. His hand was obvious when he miniraised with 10bb, Ive seen him for like 50 hands and he was based


If you are assuming they only have AA here, I would not assume that lightly. Definitely would imagine here to be at least some amount of A5s / J9s / KJo type hands that are looking to pick up the blinds but do not want to risk their whole stack. They also face loads of ICM pressure as the medium stack, so may minraise some hands they are unsure about.

And against those hands you do actually still have some fold equity with 6.5bb, because villain will know that they'll be the short stack if they call and lose.


I mean, if you know he has AA, then yes, you should fold everything that isn't the other AA.

But not knowing that and giving him credit for having any kind of raise/folds or even raise/calls with unpaired hands, TT is too good to fold.


How do you 100% know you have a worse hand?


by Darth_Maul

How do you 100% know you have a worse hand?

Cause Ive seen him, played couple HUs with him. He would jam with any other here and especially would not min-raise/fold anything. In other hands im consulting here i had no info on the vil, here i know he's miniraising with a pair that Has me beat. Should i still jam?


by QtangPendek

Cause Ive seen him, played couple HUs with him. He would jam with any other here and especially would not min-raise/fold anything. In other hands im consulting here i had no info on the vil, here i know he's miniraising with a pair that Has me beat. Should i still jam?

If you know he has a PP bigger than TT then you should fold. You would have only an 18% chance of doubling up and even when you do double up you would likely be below average with like 15 bb's. Risking 1/3 of your stack to go set mining doesn't make sense.

I do think its likely UTG has AA or KK really but I have seen players do really dumb things with AK (like limp preflop). Also I have seen players minraise with < 12 blinds when they didn't have a strong hand.

Still its a toughish spot. You could bust without moving up because your next good hand will have to get it in. I wouldn't be waiting to see how 3.5 bb guy gets it in because its only about moving up one spot if they get knocked out.

I really have never been in a spot like this. But I think you have to trust yourself.


by Mr Rick

If you know he has a PP bigger than TT then you should fold. You would have only an 18% chance of doubling up and even when you do double up you would likely be below average with like 15 bb's. Risking 1/3 of your stack to go set mining doesn't make sense. I do think its likely UTG has AA or KK really but I have seen players do really dumb things with AK (like limp preflop).

Great summary. Yes i knew IT cause he was skilled, no stupid moves from him. Yet i jammed like a r-tard,which i shouldn't do coisidering ICM factor here especially


by QtangPendek

Great summary. Yes i knew IT cause he was skilled, no stupid moves from him. Yet i jammed like a r-tard, which i shouldn't do coisidering ICM factor here especially

If villain were skilled they should have plenty of hands other than overpairs here. Skilled players don't exclusively minraise AA, because they would be too easy to play against.

I just ran a sim, although it may not be fully accurate because you didn't give too many details about the other stack sizes (I assumed 15bb avg stack), and in that context the villain plays about 16% of hands, equally split between minraises and jams, doing even more minraising if the bb is the small stack. Villain can include hands as wide as JJ+ and AJs to induce action, but also raises hands such as A9o, A7s, KJo+ that don't want to play for stacks.

At 10bb in chipEV, villain can't really raise-fold. However, at a final table, they still easily can (and should). And A9o and KJo in my sim actually fold to your rejam, because again villain becomes the short stack if they lose.


by BarracudaNL

If villain were skilled they should have plenty of hands other than overpairs here. Skilled players don't exclusively minraise AA, because they would be too easy to play against.I just ran a sim, although it may not be fully accurate because you didn't give too many details about the other stack sizes (I assumed 15bb avg stack), and in that context the villain plays about 16% o

Ill use another Words there - his type of previous Play indicated that hed only min raise a monster here, i jammed and i think IT was bad

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