Are we bluffing this river vs villains capped range

We should be betting flop for 15 with our whole range when we have such a huge range advantage. We also have a gutter. If you’re exploiting by checking I am interested to hear why. We get a lot of snap folds from better hands.

We’re not repping much by overbet jamming river but it probably doesn’t matter. We block AQ and AJ which is good. I think it’s a fine spot to ship.

I’m a bet the flop, barreling kind of guy, so I wouldn’t be in this situation.

As played, I think villain has a pair
So, is he a fish that calls, shut down
If you think he will fold that pair, jam
But if villain has 2pair, he will call

Not an example of a capped range as villain likely doesn’t have the nuts, but he probably holds a stronger hand than you. Can you make him lay it down?

I guess my issue is that I don’t want to be in this situation, I want to force the issue earlier in the hand. If you keep showing strength, he lets go of that pair of sixes.

As played, the knucklehead might take your stack.

i think marc goone would tell you to bet the flop for a big size. your hand has equity when called, blocks villain's best top pairs, and has very little showdown. it's kind of the perfect cbet bluffing hand here. his thing on ace-high boards is to bet big with thick value and select bluffs and check with weak value and showdown stuff, no?

alternatively, you can cbet range, bet turn for small, and then bomb the river assuming that his range is capped after calling two small bets.

as played, i agree with omaha that a jam reps nothing (maybe AA?) but it probably doesn't matter anyway and gets the fold.

I would overlimp after 2 limpers. Passive players often limp hands that crush our hand, we don't really want to be isolating against those hands for so much (especially if everyone else is playing so short as well), imo.

What's HH's reasoning for checking this flop back? His range includes lottsa pocket pairs that won't be able to call a cbet, and meanwhile a small cbet will typically buy us a free river card to see if we can bink for cheap. I'd probably go $15 - $20 as the last money put in UI.

So I'm guessing HH's reasoning is when he checks twice that he's capped at underpairs that we can now blow him off of? The problem is that we look a little FOS checking back the flop (which is why I often check back the flop when I actually have it).

GcluelessNLnoobG

I'm assuming HH would agree that this line might work at 200bbs but is probably horrible at just 66bbs in an SPR lol 4.5 pot.

GcluelessSPRnoobG

Agree villain's range is usually not nutted here but there's no reason he can't have Ax. I don't hate a 50% river bet to fold out pockets, maybe Kx type hands.

Flop looks like an easy small bet with our entire range, he has to fold so much here we just print on this board.

I would say that if Villain had x-called both flop and turn he's capped, but since you checked flop he can just call turn and trap with his nutted hands: (a) because your hand looks like weak value with Kx or QQ-JJ and (b) it's still a rainbow board and not overly connected and therefore Villain doesn't need to protect against draws. You might still overbet river and win, though, depending on how nitty villain is; I mean, a smaller bet folds out Kx and worse often enough, but a larger bet might also fold out Ax, so is perhaps better.

I think where the OP is getting a little confused with Goone is that Goone checks back his full range on the flop when he is out of position relative to the other remaining players. If Goone is in position (last to act) and he opened, then he is C-betting or doing a range bet. A range bet of around 30% pot is what will cap V and allow the hand to be navigated from there.

To those who don't know why marc goone prefers a check or an overbet on A high flop whether in position or out of position. Below is link to his video with detailed strategy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzhdeGrm...

i would rather bet 100% of range than 0 on this flop

if you wanted to try to risk all of your chips after checking the flop id bet close to pot ott as that's geometric. doing this and jamming river doesn't look particularly credible imo (may not matter as he probably has a weak range but i think its a poor line in general and you're way overdoing it)

How interesting...I'm familiar with another video where he talks quite a bit about c-betting when in position. The video you cited is only 6 months old so this may be his most current approach. Great find!!

Hungry is great and thanks for the video dango, but you didn’t follow his advice. His point was flop check followed by a turn check caps villain weak, so ‘pot’ the turn & take it down. You 1/2 pot bet the turn & now villain’s call may mean a lot of things.

This is a great video at looking a few moves ahead. I consider this more of a formula than a strategy. Finding ways to get villain to tell you what he has, sure makes decisions easier.

Hungry’s got a lot going on in this video. Probably watching a few times