Do we stab at this flop?
Live 2/2/10 8 handed
V1 is super aggro, cbets like 100%, 3b and 4bet at high frequency, he does it with like 9988 in blinds
He even cbet/call pot raise with marginal hand with very little equity.
V2 calls super wide preflop, but plays fit or fold postflop. He usually has the nuts or better than nuts/draw when the money gets in.
Hero might have crazy image postflop. Getting it super light.
Effective stacks 1200
Preflop
V1 in Co opens for 35, Hero in btn with K♦K♥Q♥7♠ calls, V2 calls in bb.
Pot 107
Flop J♥5♠2♣
V2 checks V1 checks?????
Hero??
Do we stab or just check back
7 Replies
Stab is good. Easy fold if raised, if we get called we frequently have the best hand, and we've got good backdoors.
Betting here would be an exploit as we just check here in theory. No relevant blockers and no nutted back doors.
When we are IP remember this heuristic.
We bet with either a really strong hand or a really weak hand.
Middle of the road checks and this hand is square in the middle.
Ok we stabbed for 75, V1 calls
Pot 257
Turn 8♦
V1 checks, Hero???
Let’s not compound our mistakes. Check
It’s a rainbow board against a guy who would bet all better hands on the flop. Exploit him and bet again to check back river.
I agree with flop bet, but not sure whether I prefer small or large, since 7 dangler is undesirabl. Prefer pot to the 75 size you used. My small sizing might be 40-45.
Betting here would be an exploit as we just check here in theory. No relevant blockers and no nutted back doors.
When we are IP remember this heuristic.
We bet with either a really strong hand or a really weak hand.
Middle of the road checks and this hand is square in the middle.
That's a good rule to follow most of the time tho I would say it's much better applied on the turn than on the flop
On flop we have potentially every set still in our range, are likely ahead, and can clean up/increase our equity by getting 1 player out with a 50-60% pot bet. We also give ourselves a better chance to showdown the hand and realize our equity vs 1 player than vs 2
