$300 Live MTT - JJ facing minR+25bb shove
$300 MTT at Gate City Casino in NH
9-handed, blinds 1500/3000/3000 BB Ante
39 left, 14 pay
Relevant stacks:
Villain 1 (UTG) - 22k
Villain 2 (MP) - 75k
Hero - 84k
UTG has limp/called weak hands pre (A9o, etc.) only made big raises with big hands, caught some big hands earlier but dwindled down quite a bit late 20's w/sunglasses and Airpods
MP is MAWG, has opened for 4-5xbb pre a few times, otherwise been passive and quite sticky postflop with marginal hands (called down with 3rd pair a few times OOO, was good a few of those times)
UTG raises to 6k, MP jams for 75k, Hero in CO with J♦J♥
On one hand, the previous hand had the exact same action - Villain 1 minraised to 6k, Villain 2 insta-jammed for 60-something k, everyone folded
On the other hand, with 30 minute levels, this seems very borderline - QQ I'd assume is a re-jam, TT is a snap-fold. Are we snap-folding this as well even with the previous action?
3 Replies
What ranges are you assigning them? Do you think UTG still has raise/folds at this depth? Let's start there.
What ranges are you assigning them? Do you think UTG still has raise/folds at this depth? Let's start there.
UTG just raised/folded the previous hand at about the same stack depth - the only other times I've seen him raise was also 2x but at around 20-40bb depth
Haven't seen UTG 3b or 4b yet, and these two hands are the first time I've seen Villain 2 3b or shove pre
I think MP's range is TT-AA/AK/AQs, though not totally sure he just rips AA/KK for that large an amount pre (but anything's possible in a $300 MTT I suppose)
The first time Villain 2 did this he had like 20 bb's (assuming the bb was 3,000) and it is a standard shove with his entire raising range. If the bb was 2500 then it actually is a very similar spot. . This time there are some people (especially here) that wouldn't 3-bet shove with 25 bb's especially after a min raise. I do it sometimes when I would be OOP if I get called (like by somebody OTB with AQ). Especially with hands like 88-JJ
Because UTG min raised with 7 blinds I have to say they should have a monster. So Villain 2 may also have a monster knowing he has no Fold Equity. Here I would just fold JJ and I'm not sure what I would do with QQ. Probably call but I just don't think Villain 2 does this with TT/99 more than with AA/KK/AK. Though I could be wrong because Villain 2 may be wanting to get hands like JJ/QQ to fold. Still I also think that Villain 2 might just call a bit with 88-TT type hands.
