[25NL] 3bp with good draw on horrible board against flop lead
GG Poker - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 94.48 BB
SB: 126.08 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 88.56 BB
Hero (MP): 133.76 BB
CO: 237.4 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♥ J♥
UTG raises to 2.6 BB, Hero raises to 7.76 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls 5.16 BB
Flop: (16.92 BB, 2 players) 9♥ 9♣ T♦
UTG bets 6.44 BB, Hero calls 6.44 BB
Turn: (29.8 BB, 2 players) 8♥
UTG bets 11.36 BB, Hero raises to 84.92 BB
Going over hands from the beginning of the year. I have my opinion of where and why I played it bad, but curious for feedback from others
4 Replies
Interesting spot, but I think I prefer just calling turn because you have the right price and some SDV.
1) they aren't going to fold enough
2) while GTO will fastplay best draws very often, that's because their opponent is super balanced. As it stands OOP could have anything and could react in a myriad of ways it is difficult to calc. The way we counter their imbalance is by accepting excellent odds to outdraw them with our whole range. (we could even win with an A river at this price)
3) if he is hyper weak he'll fold to a smaller raise, which saves us BB when he just calls and we whiff. So jam is overkill
I like the turn raise, just not too sure if a guy with a broken stack ( likely a rec) will be playing balanced enough in this spot.
Spoiler: Got called by 76s