AQ vs a new reg
2/5 at Wynncore. Full table with a bunch of regs. Not a fun table. I'm waiting for PLO.
I am BTN w/ ~$550 (MAWW). Young guy sits to my right. Obviously a reg. Backpack, hat, earphones, etc. Knows his Wynncore number (LOL), but the dealer needs a card, and he has a black one, buys in max.
He sits, takes a look at his cards, throws out a green chip and says raise. I have AQo and 3bet to $65. I didn't want to go too big because I wanted a call. He immediately 4bets to $275. Hero? Shove or fold vs a complete unknown?
12 Replies
Against an unknown, we want to stick to theory, so preflop charts on this case.
I don't have the charts in front of me right now, and I do not remember the precise spot by heart, but I guess it's a fold.
Shove or fold. If you call, there is a less than a PSB left. If it was me playing, I'd fold. However, you are presumably an unknown MAWW to him and a shove is going to look like AA. I think you have enough FE to make it +EV.
Fold.
He doesnt know you and you are a woman. Unlikely he is 4-betting light. If you had ak, you would have a decision. It is a mistake of 2/5 and below players not to be able to fold when 3-betting for value.
3bet ramges are too tight at low stakes. He cant profitably commit stacks to steal the pot. You are usually dominated at best flipping or chopping, but it would be reckless for him to do this with that sort of hand.
I don't like varying the 3B size with hands that are a little too in between, like AQo, because it can induce this sort of response, which we don't want. I'd rather just 3B to $75 and know we didn't induce a light 4B with our raise size.
If he 4B to half your stack, he's almost certainly not folding. Because we might have induced a light 4B with our 3B size, it's possible we're ahead, but I wouldn't want to bet another $485 on it. Think I just fold.
A lot of fish 3 bet small with a tightb range. She is a random to him, and it would be really bad for himnto risk stacks with axs or suitef broadway or somthing trying to get het to folg aq/tt or a bluff.
1. Fold
2. go to bar have a drink & w8t for PLO
