1/3 3bet pot vs huge aggrofish
1/3 9 handed
Villain is aggro fish, overvalues hands, played with him long time ago but don't remember much hands.
He's been bluffing alot and spewed off stack and just rebought. But the bluffs were on rivers. Sometimes open big /jam preflop with trash like 27, 69s when he was shortstacked.
Hero super tight image.
Effective stacks 370ish.
Preflop
Mp limps, Btn opens 15, V in sb calls, Hero squeezes to 55 w/99. Btn calls, V calls.
Pot 168
A77cc V checks, H bets 45, Btn folds, V jams????? I was confused
I asked if he has a 7, he said no, I believe him. Because he has been asked hands before, and usually he tells the truth.
I was thinking during game, he never does this with an Ax right? What else is there if its not 7x, Ax, flush draws???
Am i overthinking?
About 270ish to call off? we calling or folding? Pot is like about this much
We beat no value hands, only bluffs.
3 Replies
Why wouldn’t V have an A here?
Are you only able to ask him one question?
but yeah, agree this could easily be Ax (gotta charge the flush draw or get a call from your underpair before the flush comes in) but it could also be two clubs, or a lie about not having 7x
Even assuming no 7, against a range of Ax and flush draws we aren't doing so hot. (~30%)
Just against all flush draws we are only a flip. (~53%)
If we give the V at least one overcard to our 9s(not unreasonable imo, even for aggro players) we're doing even worse.(~49%)
Naked flush draws with 2 overs(KQ, JT etc) gives us ~39%.
Basically, there's no reason to call here. He would have to be doing this with a complete airball when we've shown nothing but strength.
Side note: Some dude sitting down and shoving with 69s hasn't the slightest idea what your 'image' is. I wouldn't include that in your analysis unless you can be absolutely certain they are paying attention to more than their facebook feed in between hands.
