ICM model for hero (PI) wherby winning is ininity and everyone else is playing ICM
so.... BB has 300bbs
Sb has 100bbs
UTG goes all in with 10bbs
fold fold fold fold
SB flats what ICM suggests,....
what does BB do at final table of main event if winning is the only thing they care about;? i ran some sims with 1bb 1bb 1bb 1bb 1bb 1bb 1bb 10bb and 100bbs all going in, and with 1000bbs i worked out that hero (PI) should even shove, and maybe even call, 27o versus SBs AA
any gto nerds wanna humdog my mascarpone mathamtics???
3 Replies
if sb knows bb is calling 27o they should fold everything considering hu options and 2nd versus 9th if somehow they busted
now if he flats AA he hould fold to the jam
now if he shoves, i still beleive its a call - 27o has a +11% roughly chance to scooping it all
if he loses he's headsup 900bbs against 200bbs...... and hero is pi
Also... if ICM is 8(aka 1st is infinite 2nds or third is a loss) and 30bbs and 45bbs knows that 200bb is playing for the win, they can make some super nerdy GTO plays.... like calling off 4bs with 78s to show them they wont let hero (pi) grind them down
??????
A winner-takes-all tournament in ICM is just chip EV.
