a hero call on river
I want you to give me your opinions about this hand. I played this hand on NLH cash game 25-50 peso (1-2 USD) 8 handed in Mexico. An HJ player looks like Mariano. I haven't seen his bluff, but he would bluff at some spots.
Hero CutOff K♦️T❤️
Preflop
LJ limp
CutOff raise 300 peso
BTN call
LJ call
Flop 975 peso
2❤️2♦️Q♣️
check around
Turn 975 peso
A♦️
LJ bet 500 peso
CutOff call
BTN fold
River 1975 peso
8♦️
LJ bet 3000 peso
Cutoff ??
What would you do on this spot? I considered a hero call on river. My hand blocks K high flush and he may not bet huge on river if he has A or Q. He may have a hand such as 78s or 89s and I think that the combination of trips of 2 and full house is not so large.
5 Replies
What was your reasoning for calling the turn?
When you called the turn, did you have any plans about what you would do on different types of rivers?
Do you think LJ is bluffing into two people on the turn Ad, and barreling on the river 8d when you call turn?
What would his bluffs be, that we can actually beat? Maybe JT that picked up a gut-shot straight draw on the turn, but we partially block that. Maybe 54, 53, or 43 that picked up a gut-shot to the wheel (A-5 straight).
But few players are going to limp-call a 6x raise pre from OOP, multi-way, with those hands, and start a bluff on the turn, and barrel through on a flush completing river.
We beat no value hands, and actually lose to some of his bluffs, like all the middling pairs that are just monkey-betting the turn for whatever reason. He could easily have A2s, or QdXd.
I doubt he's playing 98 or 78 this way - stabbing the turn, then over-betting a rivered 3rd pair when the flush comes in. Even if he does do this with 98 or 87 - we lose to those hands.
Seems like a pretty easy fold on the river, and I probably would have folded the turn at least some of the time, when the board is paired and we only have 3 clean outs to a straight.
