Can I really be over folding here?

Can I really be over folding here?

Yatahay Network - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 106.8 BB
SB: 124.88 BB
BB: 100 BB
UTG: 94.92 BB
UTG+1: 133.44 BB
MP: 391.84 BB
MP+1: 237.88 BB
CO: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A T

fold, UTG+1 raises to 2.4 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 7.88 BB, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 5.48 BB

Flop: (17.16 BB, 2 players) 9 6 3
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 8.56 BB, UTG+1 calls 8.56 BB

Turn: (34.28 BB, 2 players) A
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 17.12 BB, UTG+1 raises to 37.04 BB, fold

UTG+1 wins 65.12 BB

It feels like i'm beat nonstop - should I be folding this?

My 3b is a little loose but the guy has been playing 20% of hands from EP

12 February 2024 at 09:37 PM
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8 Replies


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Yes. Easy exploit fold. Turn min XR's at this level are the nuts or close to it over 95% of the time.


I think preflop is a 100% fold unless you have a reason to 3b this specific guy. I also think the turn is almost always a check. Maybe always. Definitely not calling the xr.


by AskZandar

I think preflop is a 100% fold unless you have a reason to 3b this specific guy. I also think the turn is almost always a check. Maybe always. Definitely not calling the xr.

right - are people using solvers pre-flop - i swear these regs don't miss - looking back at some of their hands. I doubt people can remember this stuff. Maybe i'm playing against bots.


by djevans

right - are people using solvers pre-flop - i swear these regs don't miss - looking back at some of their hands. I doubt people can remember this stuff. Maybe i'm playing against bots.

preflop RFI is the easiest thing in the entire game.


by AskZandar

preflop RFI is the easiest thing in the entire game.

ya i dunno about that - sometimes the solvers are different - they all seem to use the GTO wizard one - i'm used to the pokercoaching.com one


by AskZandar

I think preflop is a 100% fold unless you have a reason to 3b this specific guy. I also think the turn is almost always a check. Maybe always. Definitely not calling the xr.

Agree with this

As far as turn, I think too much AJ or better and too little worse hands in villain’s range to justify betting, especially if they’re bad enough to call with offsuit AQ/AJ pre

Good turn fold tho OP, at this level they just have it far too often, especially in nit ring


As played I would x turn, hard to get value from worse ... As played I would also fold this is very rarely a bluff.

Preflop might be a pure fold, iirc GTO suggests AJo is like a 0ev 3bet in these positions. ATo would be slightly losing.


Check flop

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